That means that 22.5% of his career pass attempts occurred when his Jacksonville Jaguars were getting blown out. Its hard to define, but we all know it when we see it. In September 2016, Nolan began hosting NFL Films Presents, airing on Fox Sports 1. At 46 percent, the Chiefs rank as the run-heaviest team. to stay in the loop on all things around the NFL. I did not account for team impacts on the relatively small number that changed teams (e.g. As shown earlier (not thats a big revelation or anything), teams tend to throw the ball more when playing from behind and vice versa. Or is he an inconsistent performer who likes to feast on soft garbage-time coverage? I havent watched enough Texans games this year to say one way or the other what Watsons season has been like, but I remember everyone thought Blake Bortles was on the cusp of being elite when he gained massive garbage-time stats early in his career with the Jags. That doesnt bode well for their upcoming game with the Buffalo Bills. If some team trades for Minshew once the Jaguars lock into drafting Clemsons Trevor Lawrence, they should brace for a quarterback who is better at losing with groovy grace and dignity than one who will lead them to many victories. Five of these seven touchdown throws happened during Minnesotas first six games of 2020 when they started 1-5 and Cousins was performing very poorly. Teams up by one-to-three percent pass only half the time. That 92 percent mark is an NFL-high. With that as the biggest factor (not to mention our other garbage time qualifications), winning teams high on the pass rate list (like Atlanta and Green Bay), wont be quite as high on the unadjusted play-calling list. Easy to lead stats for garbage time when the Cardinals have 6 games where the margin of defeat was 2-3 possessions or more lol. The Indianapolis Colts took a 19-3 fourth-quarter lead over the Chicago Bears in Week 4, but Robinson caught 4 passes for 69 yards and a touchdown on the final Bears drive. We dont think of Drake as a late-game workhorse. How much of that was end of game bush yards? The third is pass rates during our definition of garbage time. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. We the kings of garbage time! Watson is doing all he can. Theres no possible way you can go down the shore next summer without a Crossnet and now is your chance to win one. I think highly of Watson, but its worth noting that with defenses watered-down and Arena Football-style games becoming the norm, those stats simply dont mean what they used to. It is almost a guarantee Watson gets shipped out by McDaniels and Caserio so they can bring in their guy. Lololol r/falcons on suicide watch. When do you declare garbage time in time and points differences? Today, Ill be examining a variety of game situations to see which force teams to shy away from their usual play-calling. Leonard Fournette caught 17 passes when the Jaguars trailed by 16-plus points back in 2019. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. The fact that Cooper averaged only 10.6 yards per catch is somewhat more surprising. You get the idea. All - current. PLAY. Well, now the Vikings quarterback is being referred to as the Emperor of garbage time.. November wasnt kind to the Saints. We see that here, as we do not need to remove plays where a team is up 14-plus in the second or third quarter, or plays where a team is up 21-plus in the first half. This is a subreddit for the NFL community. Passer rating is the easiest way to define a quarterbacks level of success, as it incorporates their completions, attempts, yards, touchdowns, and interceptions into a single metric. We can leave that data be. 2021 NFL Season Standard Player Stats Passing Rushing Receiving Scrimmage Stats Defense Kicking Punting Kick & Punt Returns Scoring Fantasy Player Stats Player Fantasy Ranks Red Zone Passing Red Zone Rushing Red Zone Receiving Defense vs. Pos RB TE QB WR Weeks Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 It's the NFL. Five of Cousins garbage-time touchdowns in 2020 happened during the fourth quarter of a matchup, but only one of these came during Minnesotas final 10 games of the season. A popular one around the DN,. For running backs, we need to do things differently. That being the case, play-calling remains aligned fairly well with league average. But you have to remember he had great games that no one remembers because we lost such as the first Saints game and the Bengals game, so he has still been underrated imo. 2. Be sure to follow us on Twitter (@PFN365) to stay in the loop on all things around the NFL. 2021-22 Jones 2021-22 Chabot 2021-22 Burns 2021-22 Letang 2021-22 Makar 2021-22 Werenski 2021-22 Josi 2021-22 Toews 2021-22 Hughes 2021-22 Hedman 2021-22 Nurse 2021-22 Ekblad 2021-22 Provorov 2021-22 Heiskanen 2021-22 McAvoy 2021-22 . How Much Salary Cap Flexibility do the Vikings Really Have? Any time in the game where its unlikely that a team comes back to win. Of course they arent, but isnt the play-calling influenced by the scoreboard? Ha Kung Wong and Joanne Kong of Football Garbage Time discuss their scare of the week, the 2022 movie "X", and the four player prop bets they dare to make for Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season! Watson averaged 4,000 yards passing and 26 tds the prior couple of seasons when the Texans made the playoffs.In your *expert* opinion what was the reason an average QB put up probowl numbers and lead his team to the playoffs the prior 2 seasons? Never the QBs fault even though the vasy majority of the stats are picked up against prevent defenses. In other words, he is actually has somewhat fewer garbage time attempts than one would expect given his overall number of attempts - not really surprising given that Zimmer's teams tend not to get involved in many blowouts (in either direction). Its broad enough to include every situation in which the game is totally out of hand, the defense has started sitting back in prevent mode, and an opportunistic quarterback can begin fluffing his stats with short passes. For example, the Browns call a pass 48 percent of the time when ahead on the scoreboard. Another way to consider the data is by percentages - for example, what percentage of a QB's total attempts come in garbage time. Do you use your pending cap space and draft picks to build around Jalen Hurts? Down by 14 or more points after the first quarter Teams who fall behind by 14 points in the first quarter likely dont manage that feat until late in the quarter. Because there were quite a few records to wade through, I then cut anyone with fewer than 500 pass attempts over those three seasons. The bottom line is wins and losses. They have a shot at turning it around in the Thanksgiving nightcap against the Bills, and they just might do it given how well theyve played strong teams this year. Cousins was horrible during the Vikings first six games of last season, theres no arguing against that. Ive watched this play from every angle multiple times and I just dont understand. I was looking quick at their cap numbers , maybe the reason they have such a good offense and a bad defense is because that where they spend their money. There is a ton to be learned from this chart and theres certainly enough here for us to come up with a decent garbage time definition. As soon as I find Locks, Ill be sure to share it. It's good to be an elite QB with a great team, I guess. The stats also show that he's prone to running more frequently in close games. We all should know the term, when a team is behind two possessions or more in the fourth quarter, and there is not enough time for their offense to score those points and/or their defense hasn't been effective enough to keep the other team from running out the clock after a score. Check out the 2021 NFL Standings & Team Stats including AFC and NFC results and standings on Pro-football-reference.com. Get the latest fantasy news, stats, and injury updates for New Orleans Saints RB Josh Adams from CBS Sports The Blitz says: Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. I feel so bad for Watson. Absolutely, but not nearly to an extent that warrants any level of concern compared to his non-garbage-time scenarios. The yardage ranking is upper middle, along with other so-called kings of garbage time (Ryan, Stafford, etc. That means we move these snaps to the garbage time pile. As in, the coaching you had for much of the season was elementary school level, Texans are going to be bad for at leas 5 more years. the Vikings/Packers tie in Lambeau). The Real Housewives of Atlanta The Bachelor Sister Wives 90 Day Fiance Wife Swap The Amazing Race Australia Married at First Sight The Real Housewives of Dallas My 600-lb Life Last Week Tonight with John Oliver. Drake is a free agent in 2021, and its hard to get a read on his value after a good-not-great season. Judged by passer rating alone, Cousins has demonstrated an ability to operate as a top-10 quarterback in the NFL, and last year was no different. Without further ado, here is the play-calling data from the first 12 weeks of the season: Our first chart shows pass rates on all plays this season. While Cousins ended last years campaign with a passer rating of 105, which ranked eighth among quarterbacks, his passer rating only fell to 100.85 when you remove his garbage-time production. Taysom Hill was the only other active quarterback with rookie draft pick Ian Book a healthy scratch, but Hills foot injury this week limited him to just one practice session and the Saints had no plans of getting him on the field. I wonder if the WFT has the cajones? Those numbers (sorted by percentage of attempts) are below. I bet he would have taken it. The Liberty Line has a nice breakdown of Hurts stats by situation (missing last weeks stats) and shows that Hurts has seven [], [] Philadelphia was playing from behind for most of those games but asking Hurts to produce without a rushing threat to keep []. When there is no way a team is going to come back and win. Its important to note that, for the sake of this piece, I define garbage time as whenever the Vikings face a three-possession deficit at any point in the second half of a game. He ended the night with 270 yards passing, much of which came in garbage time, while being held without a touchdown for just the second time in 56 games since taking over KC's starting job in 2018. Which player has won the most Super Bowls? I would say the majority of this is from the Packers, Ravens, and Browns games, especially the Packers game in which he definitely stat-padded. Notice how high the fourth quarter pass rates are when teams are trailing. Is Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins guilty of padding his stats when trailing in the fourth quarter? In order to split up play-calling between garbage time and regular time, we must first determine which game situations fit each category. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. Note that guys like Brees, Brady, Lamar Jackson, and Luck all appear towards the top of some of those lists - though typically not all of them, in the way Kirk does. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important. I am sure no one thinks one of the greatest receivers of all time is just a garbage time producer. Only regular season games are included. 2017-18. These stats reflect it. You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or. That makes two Vikings being up so high the most impressive part of this. Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. The last way I chose to examine the data was by how one's rate stats in garbage time compare to his equivalent overall stats during the 3-year window. Avoid those on teams that will do their best to run the ball (eg. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. No ones throwing in the towel even down 21 in the first half.. Cookie Notice On the one hand, its hard to argue that Minshew benefitted from padded stats. 6 free-agent quarterbacks the Vikings could sign in 2021. Its cost us wins. My guess is that Drake is about to embark on a Carlos Hyde-like career as a moderately-priced veteran running back for hire. Robinson is an outstanding receiver in any situation, but Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles often could not reliably get him the ball until opposing defenses called off the dogs. Also this year Watson was playing without his best receiver and one of the leagues best due to a horrible trade that didnt return much value to the offense and his other explosive receiver Will Fuller was suspended 6 games. You must be logged in to leave a comment. Nick Sirianni hasnt done Hurts many favors with the playcalling either. A popular one around the DN, at least among some fans, is the "Kurt Cuzzins is the King of Garbage Time stats" one. Teams ahead by 14 points pass only one-quarter of the time in the fourth quarter. Ive taken the liberty of diving deeper into each scenario: >> Read More: Report: Eagles are officially OUT on QB Deshaun Watson. And Deshaun Watson in 2020, when the Texans went 4-12. Theres been a narrative about Cousins for a while now that he pads his stats during the garbage time portion of games. ZodiacKiller1968 1 yr. ago. Basically, as a percentage of his towards-the-top-of-the-NFL volume stats, he's not clearly padding his stats more than any other top-10ish QB in the league. Find out which teams throw most often when leading, behind, in garbage time, etc. Watson had his great season on one of the worst teams in the NFL. @jeff1317 defines garbage time as the time in which a game is out of hand and an offense is forced to change their strategy to comply with the current conditions. for NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. And its not just in blowouts either. Lock completed just 55.7% of his passes for 5.2 yards per attempt in situations where opposing defenses generally ease off the throttle and allow some easy completions over the middle. 1. One of the main talking points centered around Hurts has been when he generates most of his yardage. Most of Coopers late-game catches came from Dak Prescott or Andy Dalton. Were aware of it. Down 14-to-20 points, teams throw a whopping 85 percent of the time. When their opponents are taking them seriously and putting in the effort to pressure Siemian and challenge his receivers, Sean Payton hasnt had an answer for them. Empty calories like those will keep Mullens in the NFL as a dependable veteran backup for a long time. The percentages youre seeing are the NFL-wide pass rates (percentage of play calls that are pass) in several different scenarios. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Youll never catch me scoffing at a quarterback with a triple-digit passer rating. Just look at their losses to the New York Giants, Atlanta Falcons, and Tennessee Titans (who just got whacked by the lowly Houston Texans this week) earlier this season. A QB can make a career out of this if he plays his cards right. Its hard to be as bad as the Texans are when your quarterback is playing as well as Watson is, but the Texans found a way. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Here are the quarterbacks who threw the most passes in garbage-time situations last year. 5. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. The first thing to notice is that the top of the list is populated by back ups and marginal starters - exactly as one would expect, since such guys often see a significant chunk of their work in mop-up duty. Depending on how one ranks the importance of such things (not to mention weighing rate vs. bulk stats), I think a strong argument can be made for placing KC anywhere in the statistically top 6-12 QBs in the league over that span - in roughly the range I think the vast majority of fans would place him based on their feelz about him. They were behind constantly and had to play catch up the whole season. And you would be correct! You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or NFL teams. On February 23, 2017, it was announced that Garbage Time would either be retooled from its current format, or Fox Sports would find a new hosting vehicle for Nolan. Now Watt wants out. Shorthanded Saints lose to Eagles, offense pads stats in garbage time John Sigler follow November 21, 2021 3:17 pm CT Woof. Despite having a rookie quarterback under center, theyve called 65 passes and only six runs this season. For example, teams down by between four and six points in the fourth quarter call pass 72 percent of the time. However, 44 percent of Cousins second-half touchdown passes (11) came when Minnesota was either trailing or leading by eight points or less. Notice that, through four responses, each follower pointed to the later stages of the game. Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. So if we (arbitrarily) think of Matt Ryan as #1 among full-time starters, KC ranks 12th (and 20th overall) for percentage of attempts thrown in garbage time. Television. Passing; Rushing; Receiving; Scrimmage Stats; Defense; Kicking; . Minshew is the best QB on our roster and no one wants too talk about it. QB page EPA includes penalties and does not penalize QBs for fumbles on completed passes CPOE not measured before 2006 All pages Models: nflfastR Data: nflfastR About (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) Kirk Cousins. Next on our list would come Gus Edwards and Mark Ingram of the Baltimore Ravens with 20 attempts. Thats right, more than half of Mullens 12 touchdowns came when the 49ers were trailing by 16-plus points! Its brought us devastating losses. 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